Research Database

Research Database

Global Shield maintains a database of academic articles and reports relating to global catastrophic risk. Search this database below.

Note that Global Shield does not necessarily endorse or advocate for these publications. This database is for informational purposes only.

Policy Relevance
Policy Relevance
Policy Type
Policy Type
Year Published
Year Published

Title

Author(s)

Year

Type

Risk Category

Policy Relevance

Source

Collapse, Unraveling, or Great Simplification?

Global history, the emergence of chaos and inducing sustainability in networks of socio-ecological systems

Disarming arguments: Public opinion and nuclear abolition

Artificial Intelligence for Space Weather Forecasting

Catastrophes of the 21st Century

All-hazards

Extinction risks and resilience: A perspective on existential risks research with nuclear war as an exemplary threat

Weapons

Taking control: Policies to address extinction risks from advanced AI

Technology

Current cases of AI misalignment and their implications for future risks

Technology

Diplomatic, geopolitical and economic consequences of an impending asteroid threat

Natural and cosmic

Planetary defense governance: Thirty years of development and the multilateral future

Natural and cosmic

Transformative AI, existential risk, and asset pricing

Technology

Administrative X-Risk: Pinpointing the Flaws of an AI Regulatory Scheme Reliant on Administrative Action

Technology

A Review of the Evidence for Existential Risk from AI via Misaligned Power-Seeking

Technology

Economic growth under transformative AI

Existential Risk, Astronomical Waste, and the Reasonableness of a Pure Time Preference for Wellbeing

All-hazards

The Future is Never Written: Fighting Like Hell for Abundant Futures

Existential Risk, Climate Change and Nonideal Justice

All-hazards

AI and National Security: The United States Risks Losing Its Competitive Edge

Pentagon Plans Mass Autonomous Weapons Deployment

Global Governance in Crisis? Conclusions from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Towards Artificial General Intelligence-A Survey of Hyperdimensional Computing and Vector Symbolic Architectures with Quantum Computing for Multivariate …

The True Threat of Artificial Intelligence.

An overview of research on human-centered design in the development of artificial general intelligence

Catastrophic jailbreak of open-source LLMs via exploiting generation

The Case for Longtermism: Concern for the far future as a catalyst for pro-climate action

Environment

The Future Beauty: Artificial General Intelligence Driven Nanotechnology and Quantum Computing in Medical Aesthetics

Bridging the Gap between Purpose-Driven Frameworks and Artificial General Intelligence

Climate Change and the Future of Catastrophe Insurance Programs

Artificial General Intelligence, Existential Risk, and Human Risk Perception

Technology

Transformation vs Tradition: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) for Arts and Humanities

Drawing blanks and winning: Quantifying global catastrophic risk associated with human ingenuity

All-hazards

Artificial General Intelligence: Roadmap To Achieving Human-Level Capabilities

Book excerpt—Catastrophic climate change: Lessons from the dinosaurs

How important is the end of humanity? Lay people prioritize extinction prevention but not above all other societal issues

All-hazards

Delay, Detect, Defend: Preparing for a Future in which Thousands Can Release New Pandemics

Biology

The End and Hope of Mankind

The Last of Us’: How Likely Is a Fungal Apocalypse?

Unpacking The “Existential” Climate Crisis With Bill McKibben

Health Experts Urge Nuclear Risk Reduction

An AI Leader Urges Regulation and a Rethink.

Biotechnology: A panacea to climate change disasters-Brief review

AI and the Future of Drone Warfare: Risks and Recommendations

13 Individual Climate Risks at the Bounds of

Should Epistemic Security Be a Priority GCR Cause Area

All-hazards

Science, Delusion, and Existential Risk

All-hazards

Extinction and the Human: Four American Encounters by Timothy Sweet

Coordinated pausing: An evaluation-based coordination scheme for frontier AI developers

Technology

How AI Threatens Democracy

Future of Climate Change

The conflict in Ukraine and its global implications

Gambling on unknown unknowns: Risk ethics for a climate change technofix

Existential Risks: Emerging Intersections, Reinforcements, Cascades

All-hazards

Existential threats (beyond/NOT Climate Change & technologies)

All-hazards

Why Do Longtermists Care About Protecting the Environment? An Investigation on the Underlying Mechanisms of Pro-Climate Policy Support

Earth Breaking Bad: The Politics of Deep Adaptation

Calculating the costs and benefits of advance preparations for future pandemics

Governing and Anticipating Anthropogenic Existential Risks: Envisioning Some New Approaches

All-hazards

Developing safer AI–concepts from economics to the rescue

Technology

Climate cooperation with risky solar geoengineering

Environment

Imitation Learning is Probably Existentially Safe

Technology

Multinational AGI Consortium (MAGIC): A Proposal for International Coordination on AI

Technology

Peace Culture?: Being the Change We Want to See in the World

Paying forward to future generations: how infrastructure can do more

Why We Shouldn’t Pause Research on AI, but Instead Prioritize Multidisciplinary Research and AI Governance

Safeguarding the Far Future: A Broad Legal Intervention for Existential Risk Mitigation in Response to the LHC Controversy

All-hazards

Misanthropes, and Omnicidal Terrorists: Reassessing the Agential Risk Framework

All-hazards

Concepts of existential catastrophe

All-hazards

An Axiology of Aesthetics for Existential Risk

All-hazards

Existential Risk: From Resilience to Antifragility

All-hazards

Convergence on Existential Risk Policy

All-hazards

The Existential Threat of Climate Change: From Climate Anxiety to Post-Nihilist Politics

Environment

Redefining Global Disaster Management Strategies: Lessons from COVID-19 and the Call for United Action

Power Grid Resilience to High Impact Low Probability Events

Existential Risks Associated with Dual-Use Technologies

Technology

The COVID-19 pandemic as an existential threat: Evidence on young people’s psychological vulnerability using a Multifaceted Threat Scale

Interplanetary Origin of Large Geomagnetic Storms (Dst≤− 100 nt) During (2017–2021)

Caring for Present and Future Generations Alike: Longtermism and Moral Regard Across Temporal and Social Distance

All-hazards

World is on brink of catastrophic warming, UN climate change report says

Geomagnetic Storm and its Impact on Time-Dependent Transformer Thermal Response in Large Power Systems

Opposite ethical views converge under the threat of catastrophic climate change

Environment

Food resilience in a dark catastrophe: A new way of looking at tropical wild edible plants

All-hazards

Great power conflict report

All-hazards

Safeguarding the future report

All-hazards

Philanthropy to the right of boom

Weapons

Call me, maybe? Hotlines and global catastrophic risk report

Global Catastrophic Nuclear Risk: A guide for philanthropists

Weapons

On Assessing the Risk of Nuclear War

Probabilities, methodologies and the evidence base in existential risk assessments

All-hazards

Ripples on the Great Sea of Life: A Brief History of Existential Risk Studies

All-hazards

12 Risks that threaten human civilisation: The case for a new risk category

All-hazards

Forecasting Existential Risks: Evidence from a Long-Run Forecasting Tournament

All-hazards,Technology,Environment,Biology,Weapons

The AI Power Paradox: Can States Learn to Govern Artificial Intelligence-before It’s Too Late?